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翻譯:林菡(簡介並寄信)
編輯:侯嘉玨(簡介並寄信)




機率理論的歷史
CHistory of Probability Theory

Franklin, J.(2001). 《推測的科學︰在帕斯卡之前的證據和機率》 ,約翰霍普金斯大學出版社。
Franklin, J. (2001). The Science of Conjecture: Evidence and Probability Before Pascal. John Hopkins University Press

Jaynes, E.T.(2003). 《機率論︰科學的邏輯》 ,劍橋大學出版社。
Jaynes, E. T. (2003). Probability theory: The logic of science. Cambridge University Press.

機率推理
Probabilistic Reasoning

Gigerenzer, G., & Murray, D. J. (1987).《認知--直覺統計》 ,Hillsdale, NJ: Erlbaum.
Gigerenzer, G., & Murray, D. J. (1987). Cognition as intuitive statistics. Hillsdale, NJ: Erlbaum.

Gilovich, T., Griffin, D., Kahneman, D.(等編著) (2002)《直觀推斷和偏見︰直覺判斷的心理學》 ,劍橋大學出版社
Gilovich, T., Griffin, D., Kahneman, D. (Eds) (2002). Heuristics and Biases: The Psychology of Intuitive Judgment. Cambridge University Press.

Kahneman, D., Slovic, P., Tversky A.(等編著)(1982).《在不確定基礎上的判斷︰直觀推斷和偏見》 ,劍橋大學出版社
Kahneman, D., Slovic, P., Tversky A. (Eds) (1982). Judgment under Uncertainty : Heuristics and Biases. Cambridge University Press.

貝葉斯網路
Bayesian Networks

Pearl, J. (1988).《智力系統的機率論推理︰似是而非的推論網路》 ,Morgan Kaufman, 聖薩爾瓦多(加拿大)
Pearl, J. (1988). Probabilistic Reasoning in Intelligent Systems: Networks of Plausible Inference. Morgan Kaufman, San Mateo, CA

Breese, J. S. (1992). 〈信念和決策網路的建構〉於《計算智能》 Computational Intelligence 8(4): 624 647.
Breese, J. S. (1992). Construction of belief and decision networks, Computational Intelligence 8(4): 624–647.

F. Bacchus, A.J. Grove, J.Y. Halpern, and D. Koller (1993). 〈缺少推理的統計基礎〉於《第十三屆國際人工智慧聯合會議公報》 ,Chambery,法蘭西,1993年8月,pages 563--569.
F. Bacchus, A.J. Grove, J.Y. Halpern, and D. Koller (1993). Statistical foundations for default reasoning. Proceedings of the 13th International Joint Conference on Artificial Intelligence (IJCAI), Chambery, France, August 1993, pages 563--569.

多示例的貝葉斯網路
Multiple-Instance Bayesian Networks

Pasula, H. and Russell, S. (2001). 《第一階機率論語言的大概推論》 ,Seattle, WA, pp. 741 748.
Pasula, H. and Russell, S. (2001). Approximate inference for first-order probabilistic languages, IJCAI-01, Seattle, WA, pp. 741–748.

Halpern, J. Y. [1990].〈第一階邏輯機率的分析〉於《人工智慧》 46(3): 311 350.
Halpern, J. Y. [1990]. An analysis of first-order logics of probability, Artificial Intelligence 46(3): 311–350.

D. Koller and A. Pfeffer (1997).〈物體導向的貝葉斯網路〉於《第十三屆不確定性人工智慧年會公報》 ,Providence, Rhode Island, pages 302-313.
D. Koller and A. Pfeffer (1997). Object-Oriented Bayesian Networks. Proceedings of the 13th Annual Conference on Uncertainty in AI (UAI), Providence, Rhode Island, pages 302-313.

因果推理
Causal Reasoning

Waldmann, M. R. (2000). 〈在預測和診斷學習中原因而不是效果的競爭〉於《實驗心理學期刊︰學習、記憶和認知》 26, 53-76.
Waldmann, M. R. (2000). Competition among causes but not effects in predictive and diagnostic learning. Journal of Experimental Psychology: Learning, Memory, and Cognition, 26, 53-76.

Ahn, W., & Dennis, M. (2000). 〈因果鏈的歸納〉於《第十二屆認知科學協會年會公報》 ,Lawrence Erlbaum Associates, NJ: Mahwah
Ahn, W., & Dennis, M. (2000). Induction of causal chain. Proceedings of the Twenty-second Annual Conference of the Cognitive Science Society, Lawrence Erlbaum Associates, NJ: Mahwah

Dennis, M. J., & Ahn, W. (2001). 〈原因強度判斷中的首位〉於《記憶與認知》 29, 152-164
Dennis, M. J., & Ahn, W. (2001). Primacy in causal strength judgments. Memory & Cognition.29, 152-164

Cheng, P.W. (1997). 〈從共變到因果關係︰因果強度理論〉,《心理學評論》 104, 367-405.
Ahn, W., & Dennis, M. (2000). Induction of causal chain. Proceedings of the Twenty-second Annual Conference of the Cognitive Science Society, Lawrence Erlbaum Associates, NJ: Mahwah

Novick, L. R., & Cheng, P. W. (印刷中).〈評估交互因果影響〉,《心理學評論》
Cheng, P.W. (1997). From covariation to causation: A causal power theory. Psychological Review, 104, 367-405.

Novick, L. R., & Cheng, P. W. (in press). Assessing interactive causal influence. Psychological Review.

因果模型
Causal Models

Pearl, J. (2000). 《因果關係︰模型、推理和推論》 ,紐約︰劍橋大學出版社
Pearl, J. (2000). Causality: models, reasoning, and inference. New York: Cambridge University Press.

Glymour, C. (2003).〈學習、預測和因果貝氏網路〉,《認知科學趨勢》 7, 43-48.
Glymour, C. (2003). "Learning, prediction and causal Bayes nets." Trends in Cognitive Science, 7, 43-48.

Glymour, C. (2001). 《思惟的箭︰心理學中的貝氏網路和圖形因果模型》 麻省理工學院出版社
Glymour, C. (2001). The Mind's Arrows: Bayes Nets and Graphical Causal Models in Psychology. MIT Press.

Zhang, N. and Poole, D. (1996). 〈在貝葉斯網路推論中探尋因果獨立性〉於《人工智慧研究期刊》 5: 301 328.
Zhang, N. and Poole, D. (1996). Exploiting causal independence in Bayesian network inference. Journal of Artificial Intelligence Research 5: 301–328.

因果理論和機制
Causal Theories and Mechanisms

Waldmann, M. R. (1996).〈基於知識的因果歸納〉 Knowledge-based causal induction. I摘自D. R. Shanks, K. J. Holyoak, & D. L. Medin等編著之《學習和動機的心理學》 Vol. 34:〈因果學習〉(pp. 47-88).聖地牙哥 San Diego: Academic Press.
Waldmann, M. R. (1996). Knowledge-based causal induction. In D. R. Shanks, K. J. Holyoak, & D. L. Medin (Eds.), The psychology of learning and motivation, Vol. 34: Causal learning (pp. 47-88). San Diego: Academic Press.

Ahn, W., Kalish, C. W., Medin, D. L., & Gelman, S. A. (1995). 〈因果歸因中共變和機制訊息的角色比較〉於《認知》 , 54, 299-352.
Ahn, W., Kalish, C. W., Medin, D. L., & Gelman, S. A. (1995). "The role of covariation vs. mechanism information in causal attribution." Cognition, 54, 299-352.

Ahn, W., Novick, L., & Kim, N. S. (印刷中).〈理解使其更加正常︰因果解釋影響人的感知〉於《心理學公報與評論》
Ahn, W., Novick, L., & Kim, N. S. (in press). "Understanding it makes it more normal": Causal explanations influence person perception. Psychonomic Bulletin and Review.

理性分析
Rational Analysis

Anderson, J.R. (1990). 《思惟的適應性特徵》 ,Hillsdale, NJ: Lawrence Erlbaum Associates.
Anderson, J.R. (1990). The adaptive character of thought. Hillsdale, NJ: Lawrence Erlbaum Associates.

Ahn, W., & Graham, L. M. (1999). 〈在華生四卡片選擇任務中必要性和訊息選擇充分性的影響〉於《心理科學》 10, 237-242.
Ahn, W., & Graham, L. M. (1999). The impact of necessity and sufficiency on information choices in the Wason four-card selection task. Psychological Science, 10, 237-242.

Oaksford, M., & Chater, N. (1994). 〈對選擇任務的理性分析是最佳數據選擇〉於《心理學評論》 , 101, 608-631.
Oaksford, M., & Chater, N. (1994). A rational analysis of the selection task as optimal data selection. Psychological Review, 101, 608-631.

Oaksford M., & Chater, N. (Eds) (1998). 《認知的理性模型》 ,牛津大學出版社
Oaksford M., & Chater, N. (Eds) (1998). Rational Models of Cognition. Oxford University Press.

Sperber, D., Cara, F., & Girotto, V. (1995). 〈相關理論解釋選擇任務〉於《認知》57, 31-95.
Sperber, D., Cara, F., & Girotto, V. (1995). "Relevance Theory Explains the Selection Task". Cognition, 57, 31-95.

行為經濟學
Behavioral Economics

Camerer, C. (2003). 《行為賽局理論︰策略互動實驗(行為經濟學中的協商序列)》 ,普林斯頓大學出版社
Camerer, C. (2003). Behavioral Game Theory: Experiments in Strategic Interaction (Roundtable Series in Behaviorial Economics). Princeton University Press.




 
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