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翻譯:顏宇汝(簡介並寄信)、劉昭嶽(簡介並寄信) 編輯:李詩健(簡介並寄信)

We have noted the days for which the articles and cases should be prepared (before the class in which we discuss them). The table below also indicates which sections of the text you should be sure to read to learn the material you will need to do the assignments, and which sections you can skim ('skim' ≠ 'skip').

“BD”是指課堂上用的那本課本:史特曼(John Sterman),《商業動力學:複雜世界下的系統思考及模型》(Business Dynamics:Systems Thinking and Modeling for a Complex World).Irwin/McGraw Hill, 2000. ISBN 0-07-238915-X (Text and CD-ROM); 如果想知道更詳細關於課本及軟體模型的資訊,請參考這個教科書的網站
"BD" refers to the course textbook: Sterman, J. Business Dynamics: Systems Thinking and Modeling for a Complex World. Irwin/McGraw Hill, 2000. ISBN 0-07-238915-X (Text and CD-ROM); see the textbook's web site for information about the book, including software models.

課程單元 閱讀資料
1 簡介及概述:目的,工具及系統動力學的概念
Introduction and Overview: Purpose, Tools and Concepts of System Dynamics
Business Dynamics [BD], Ch. 1
2 系統動力學的工具(第一部分):問題的定義及模型的目的
System Dynamics Tools Part 1: Problem Definition and Model Purpose
BD, 第三、四章
BD, Ch. 3, Ch. 4
3 系統動力學的工具(第二部分):建立因果環路圖的理論
System Dynamics Tools Part 2: Building Theory with Causal Loop Diagrams
BD, 第五章(略讀 5.4, 5.6)
BD, Ch. 5 (Skim Sections 5.4, 5.6)
4 系統動力學的工具(第三部分):繪出系統的積存量及流量結構
System Dynamics Tools Part 3: Mapping the Stock and Flow Structure of Systems
BD, 第六章(略讀6.2.7, 6.2.8, 6.2.9, 6.3.4, 6.3.6)
BD, Ch. 6 (Skim Sections 6.2.7, 6.2.8, 6.2.9, 6.3.4, 6.3.6)
5 系統動力學的工具(第四部分):積存量及流量結構的動力學
System Dynamics Tools Part 4: Dynamics of Stocks and Flows
BD, 第七章
BD, Ch. 7
6 系統動力學的工具(第五部分):連結回饋與積存量及流量結構
System Dynamics Tools Part 5: Linking Feedback with Stock and Flow Structure
BD, 第 8.1-8.4 節
BD, Sections 8.1-8.4
7 系統動力學的工具(第六部分):連結回饋與積存量及流量結構(續)
System Dynamics Tools Part 6: Linking Feedback with Stock and Flow Structure (continued)
BD, 第 8.5 節到結束
BD, Ch. 8.5 to end
8 成長策略(第一部份):模擬創新新產品的擴張與成長
Growth Strategies Part 1: Modeling Innovation Diffusion and the Growth of New Products
BD, 第 9.1 節(略讀9.1.2, 9.1.3);第 9.2、9.3節(略讀9.3.5 到結束)
BD, Ch. 9.1 (Skim 9.1.2, 9.1.3); 9.2, 9.3 (Skim Sections 9.3.5 to end)
9 成長策略(第二部份):外在網絡,補充,通路依賴
Growth Strategies Part 2: Network Externalities, Complementarities, and Path Dependence
BD, 第十章(略讀10.2)
BD, Ch. 10 (Skim Section 10.2)
10 成長策略(第三部份):模擬新醫學技術的發展
Growth Strategies Part 3: Modeling the Evolution of New Medical Technologies
請準備: Homer, Jack, edited by J. Sterman. 《基礎新技術的發展: 可移植的心臟調節器》 麻省理工學院 史隆管理學院, 1996/1984。
Please Prepare: Homer, Jack, edited by J. Sterman. The Evolution of a Radical New Technology: The Implantable Cardiac Pacemaker. MIT Sloan School of Management, 1996/1984.
11 操作,策略,以及人力資源政策問的相互影嚮:人民航空
Interactions of Operations, Strategy, and Human Resource Policy: People Express
請準備: Schlesinger, Leonard A., 與 Debra Whitestone. 《人民航空》(A). Boston, MA: Harvard Business Publishing, 2000. Case No. 9-483-103.
Please Prepare: Schlesinger, Leonard A., and Debra Whitestone. People Express (A). Boston, MA: Harvard Business Publishing, 2000. Case No. 9-483-103.
12 來賓演講:通用汽車(GM)的商業動力學,尼克布得,馬克佩吉(Nick Pudar, Mark Paich)
Guest Lecture: Business Dynamics at General Motors (Nick Pudar, Mark Paich)
請準備: Christensen, Clayton M., 與 Erik A. Roth. 《OnStar: 不是你父執輩的通用汽車》 Boston, MA: Harvard Business Publishing, 2002. Case No. 9-602-081.
Please Prepare: Christensen, Clayton M., and Erik A. Roth. OnStar: Not Your Father's General Motors. Boston, MA: Harvard Business Publishing, 2002. Case No. 9-602-081.
13 管理過度成長:人民航空的教訓
Managing Hyper Growth: Lessons from People Express.

End of 15.871
14 系統動力學的作用: 再造高效率工業的供應鏈工程
System Dynamics in Action: Re-engineering the Supply Chain in a High-Velocity Industry
BD, 第十一章 (略讀11.6, 11.7)
BD, Ch. 11 (Skim Sections 11.6, 11.7)
15 管理的不穩定性(第一部份): 製作及測試健全的商業程序模型
Managing Instability Part 1: Formulating and Testing Robust Models of Business Processes
BD, 第13.1, 13.2.1-13.2.7, 13.3 與 13.4節。
BD, Sections 13.1, 13.2.1-13.2.7, 13.3 and 13.4
16 管理的不穩定性(第二部份):補給線及供應鏈
Managing Instability Part 2: The Supply Line and Supply Chains
BD, 第14.1, 17.1, 17.2 與 17.3節。
BD, Sections 14.1, 17.1, 17.2 and 17.3
17 管理的不穩定性(第三部份):預測及回饋: 有限理性及合理的預期
Managing Instability Part 3: Forecasting and Feedback: Bounded Rationality or Rational Expectations?
BD, 第十六章
BD, Ch. 16
18 管理的不穩定性(第四部份):商業週期: 不動產及油輪
Managing Instability Part 4: Business Cycles: Real Estate and Oil Tankers
BD, 第 17.4 與 17.5節。
BD, Sections 17.4 and 17.5
19 來賓演講: 傑佛瑞斯特(Jay W. Forrester)
Guest Lecture: Jay W. Forrester
Forrester, Jay W. 《從牧場到系統動力學:自傳》,摘自《管理學得獎者:自傳性文章的集合》,Arthur G 編。Bedeian. Vol. 1 of 3. Greenwich, CT: JAI Press, 1992.
Forrester, Jay W. From the Ranch to System Dynamics: An Autobiography. In Management Laureates: A Collection of Autobiographical Essays. Edited by Arthur G. Bedeian. Vol. 1 of 3. Greenwich, CT: JAI Press, 1992.
20 系統動力學的作用: 專案管理的準時及預算內的動力學
System Dynamics in Action: The Dynamics of Project Management-On Time and Under Budget
BD, Sections 2.3 and 6.3.4
21 系統動力學的作用:環境及公共政策問題的系統動力學之應用
System Dynamics in Action: Applications of System Dynamics to Environmental and Public Policy Issues
Meadows, D. H., D. L. Meadows, J. Randers, 與 W.W. Behrens, III. 《黑暗中的摸索:全球模型的第一個十年》 New York, N.Y.: Wiley, 1974. (摘錄)
Meadows, D. H., D. L. Meadows, J. Randers, and W.W. Behrens, III. Groping in the Dark: The First Decade of Global Modeling. New York, N.Y.: Wiley, 1974. (Excerpts)

Meadows, Donella H., 與 Donella Meadows. 《全球公民》 Island Press, 1991. (選錄)
Meadows, Donella H., and Donella Meadows. The Global Citizen. Island Press, 1991. (Selections)
22 系統動力學的作用: 半導體產業的流程改造
System Dynamics in Action: Process Improvement in the Semiconductor Industry
請準備: Kaplan, Robert S. 《亞德諾半導體股份有限公司:半衰期系統》 Boston, MA: 哈佛商業出版, 1993. 案例號:9-190-061.
Please Prepare: Kaplan, Robert S. Analog Devices, Inc.: The Half-Life System. Boston, MA: Harvard Business Publishing, 1993. Case No. 9-190-061.

Stata, Ray. 《組織學習:管理創新的關鍵》 Boston, MA: 史隆管理評論,1989春。
Stata, Ray. Organizational Learning: The Key to Management Innovation. Boston, MA: Sloan Management Review, Spring 1989.
23 來賓演講:系統動力學的作用- 吉姆萊尼斯(Jim Lyneis)
Guest Lecture: System Dynamics in Action - Jim Lyneis
24 系統動力學的作用: 應用的挑戰結論: 如何持續學習, 持續追蹤資源, 工作機會, 課程評量
System Dynamics in Action: The Implementation Challenge Conclusion: How to Keep Learning, Follow-up Resources, Career Opportunities, Course Evaluations
BD, Ch. 22

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